Posts Tagged ‘price ranges’

New Construction Markets Stabilizing

Monday, January 25th, 2010

2009 has been a year of mixed signals to the new home market.  In our regional markets we started to see daylight with some areas showing actual increases in overall unit sales, while most areas that showed decreases in sales experienced smaller decreases than in 2008.  To be certain, we are not experiencing a “boom” time yet, but the signs of stabilization are certainly present.  Inventories have been pared to levels where absorption rates are returning to 2005 -2006 levels.  Prices have not been severely impacted either.  In fact, one segment of the Quad City market had a 7% increase in the average new home sales price over the last year.

 

The Quad City area continues to see new construction very differently depending upon whether you are in Scott County, IA or in Rock Island County, IL. The Illinois side saw its market share of new construction sales dip below the 20% mark again in 2009, even though it experienced a slight increase in unit sales.  Overall unit sales fell 15% from 2008 levels in the Quad Cities.  House sales took the bulk of the loss, as overall condo sales were only down 2% from 2008.  Since 2004, house sales have fallen from 67% of unit sales to 61% of sales in 2009.  Inventory levels have stabilized and appear well balanced with the price points of recent sales.  The over-development of residential building lots in some areas of this market has left a legacy that is yet undetermined.  Will the need to liquidate lots lead to some lower housing prices or just slower absorption rates?  The coming months will reveal the strategies of lenders and developers alike. 

 

Current sales patterns reveal pockets of success at various price ranges, but many terrific areas are going unnoticed by consumers who, even in the face of upcoming deadlines for tax and other incentives to buy, do not seem to feel any great sense of urgency.  Coupled with the fact that buyers can choose from a wide variety of settings, home styles and prices, the current tax incentives and still low interest rates will hopefully be enough to “thaw” the winter sales chill and bring buyers back into the marketplace in time to take advantage of these conditions.

New Construction Coming Back to Life

Tuesday, December 22nd, 2009

Residential New Construction Coming Back to Life in
Scott and Rock Island Counties

The Quad Cities area residential new construction market is starting to show signs of life. 

At the end of November a number of indicators pointed in a more positive direction. The inventory of new homes has steadily declined over the past two years, with a number of segments of the market approaching inventory levels that appear depleted, rather than excessive.  The decline in overall unit sales from previous years has slowed, with November house closings and pendings exceeding those of ’08 by nearly 60% in Scott County, and with November closings in Rock Island County up by 40% for houses and condos combined.  Year-to-date closings reflect an overall decline of 20% in unit sales in Scott County, but a 17% increase in unit sales in Rock Island County, compared to 2008.  These figures are both improvements since the end of the previous quarter and scheduled December closings look to be even better.

Condos priced up to $175,000 continue to lead the way, with substantial sales increases in the entire market.  In fact, this price range shows the strongest condo and home sales on both sides of the river, but suffers from an extreme shortage of available inventory, as first-time buyers take advantage of local, state and federal incentives.  At this time there are only two new construction houses listed for sale up to $175,000 in the Scott and Rock Island counties.  High land prices, high costs of construction and increasing regulatory costs plus heightened consumer expectations, continue to make the construction of homes in this price range a very difficult task in our market. 

Most price ranges above the $175,000 level report either stable or declining sales when compared to 2008, but there are pockets of activity spread throughout the Quad Cities region at just about every range.  The exception is condos above $300,000 in Scott County, which have experienced a 92% reduction in sales since last year. 

However, as sales figures continue to recover, the impact is lessened by the declining available inventory of new construction homes in the QCA.  As choices become more limited, consumers must increasingly choose between their “dream” of a new home and the existing home marketplace.  Fewer buyers have the luxury of time that is often required to build a home to their specifications and decide to make the more expedient choice of purchasing an existing home instead.  Fewer choices lead to fewer sales, fewer sales lead to still fewer choices and so on and so on.  Reduced new home sales then become a “self-fulfilling prophecy” and not a result of lack of real demand.  Restoration of confidence on the part of consumers, builders and lenders is required to restore this sector of our area’s economy to the level of several years ago.

Once again time, expectations, confidence and patience become key factors in this recovery.

A family-owned company since 1862, Ruhl&Ruhl REALTORS annually sells approximately 3,400 homes in eastern Iowa, western Illinois and southwestern Wisconsin.  Caroline Ruhl is the President and owner of Ruhl&Ruhl REALTORS, and is the fourth generation of the Ruhl family to lead the residential brokerage and home services company.  Headquartered in Davenport, Iowa, the company has 250 sales associates and 60 employees based in sales offices located in Bettendorf, Bellevue, Clinton, Coralville, Davenport, DeWitt, Dubuque, Maquoketa, and Muscatine, in Iowa, and in Moline, Illinois.  In addition to residential sales, Ruhl&Ruhl offers services in relocation, new home sales, farm sales, property management, senior services, and mortgage services through 1862 Mortgage.  For more information on Ruhl&Ruhl, visit their website at www.RuhlHomes.com


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